Take over? No. Compliment? Maybe. Mostly just wanting to make sure I understand. And to help others reading to understand what you are doing. I know you've explained it to me before but I've never really sat down and beat my brain to mush over it.

So, next step....

A series of predictions. Compute the Jones probability for each one. Obviously account for differences in each prediction - window size, mag, range, etc...

How do we determine the over success? Let's just use a small sample, say 3 hits out of 5 tries. The Jones Probs for each one is: .24(hit), .37(miss), .18(hit), .32(hit), .19(miss)

Brian