Latest Earthquake Research Data – Posted By EQF on August 27, 2013

My forecast program is now finally running again at full speed. And I am gradually updating my forecasting Web page files.

Below are copies of my 2013 Year Chart that show data going back one year in time from this past week.

The FIRST CHART shows the EM Signal data plus 6 and higher magnitude earthquakes. It will change as newer versions are stored there.

Where there are line peaks at some longitude on the chart lines it means that my computer programs determined that EM Signals detected during the 90 day Time Window ending on that listed date were good matches for earthquakes that occurred in the past at that longitude.

The earthquake database file goes back to the start of 1990 and contains mostly 5.5 and higher magnitude earthquakes.

The SECOND CHART is the same. But it also shows yellow longitude lines that are intended to let the viewer evaluate the two very powerful earthquakes that occurred in the following Fiji Islands and Sea of Okhotsk regions.

2013/05/24 05:44:49 54.87N 153.28E 608 8.3 Sea of Okhotsk region
2013/05/23 17:19:04 23.02S 177.10W 171 7.4 Fiji Islands region
NEIS Data

My computer programs regard longitudes that are 90 or 180 degrees to the east and west of one another as being the same. So, there are lines at 177 W and 177 – 90 or 87 W etc.

The THIRD CHART is the same. But it does not show any earthquakes or yellow longitude lines.

COMMENTS:

1. My data indicate that something along seismic activities got started around the beginning of July, 2013. However, so far I haven’t been able to tell what that is from examining those charts.

2. If you examine the SECOND CHART you can see line chart peaks that appeared before the powerful and destructive 8 magnitude earthquake that occurred in the Solomon Islands region.

2013/02/06 01:12:27 10.74S 165.14E 29 8.0 76km W of Lata, Solomon Islands

Strong line peaks around 165 E go back to around September of 2012! And they disappear after the earthquake occurred.

And, if I remember correctly, those data are in Excellent agreement with Pavel Kalenda’s group's ground tilt data. Again if I remember correctly, his charts show easily seen changes in the directions of the ground tilt lines at the same time when my chart started showing line peaks at that longitude and when they disappeared on my chart.

3. In my opinion, people who believe that earthquakes can’t be predicted don’t have any idea regarding what is taking place in the forecasting world. Or, they are living in a dangrous dream world of their own creation. The fact that they can be predicted can be easily seen by examining those Solomon Islands data. And there are somewhat similar data on the charts regarding powerful earthquakes that occurred at other times and places.

One of the things to remember is that line peaks associated with some earthquake do not always appear at the true earthquake longitude on those charts.

One of the reasons for that is that the line peaks point to where my computer programs believe the EM Signals are being generated. And with at least some small tectonic plates, because of strain transfer processes, the signals might actually be generated on the opposite side of the plate from where the earthquake is actually going to occur. That is one of the latest theories anyway.

EM SIGNAL ACTIVITY

Strong solar storm activity has largely stopped this week. And no strong EM Signals have been detected lately.

FINALLY

As a disaster mitigation professional I am attempting to get international earthquake forecasting efforts organized. And that effort is scheduled to accelerate now that my forecasting programs are running again.

There are actually some extremely valuable earthquake forecasting data out there that are being generated by groups such as Dr. Kalenda’s group. But I have never been able to get any other groups to make their data available on the Internet in such a manner that other researchers around the world could make use of them.

Shan’s data are something of an exception. However, at the present time it takes some effort to try to compare them with other researchers’ data such as my own. And I am hoping to get Shan to make his data available in text files that are easier for computer programs such as mine to process.

One of the consequences of all of this is that it is possible that my data are about all that people around the world presently have for telling if an earthquake might be headed their way. And one of the reasons for that is the fact that I AM making strong efforts to have my data circulated and to get researchers around the world organized. Past experiences indicate that if a researchers simply stores their forecast data at some Web site they will likely be ignored.

Is the GEM group going to make any progress? I haven’t yet tried to contact them and can’t propose if that is likely to happen.

These are personal opinions.