Again, just a fairly quick note.

It appears that my forecasting program did an extremely good job of pointing to the approach of those Solomon Islands earthquakes. My original Chart A should still be visible for a few hours. It will be updated in a short time with the latest data.

http://www.freewebs.com/eq-forecasting/Data.html

Additionally, in my first post in this thread I stated clearly that an unusually large number of low intensity signals had been detected during a several day period of time. And that is often an indicator that a very powerful earthquake is approaching.

Chart A had very clear line peaks around 165 E to 170 E. The older lines are more concentrated around 165 E. And because of the way my computer programs do their calculations, line peaks could also appear at + and – 90 and 180 degrees from the important longitude. And there are strong line peaks at 76 E (166 E – 90).

Most of the actual Earthquake Warnings that I circulate are based on em 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, and 9 strength signals. I hardly ever circulate one based on em1 or em2 signals. But there were so many em1 signals lately that I did post that warning note. And in the future I will more carefully watch for large numbers of em1 signals.

During the past year I was able to circulate 2 accurate Earthquake Advisories and Warnings for the Japan area because large numbers of em1 signals were detected and I had some accurate em3 and higher signals pointing to that area to work with.

However, the em5 and higher signals appear to be almost always linked with solar storm (and earthquake fault zone) activity. And because there has been virtually no solar storm activity for quite a while there were almost no high intensity EM Signals before those Solomon Islands area earthquakes and also those recent and powerful Alaska and Chile earthquakes.

Earthquake forecasting programs need to be run by disaster mitigation professionals rather than by geologists or other research scientists. Governments seem to be totally blind to that reality. And it is unnecessarily costing tremendous number of lives every year.

The geologists and other research scientists are worried about their jobs, their images, and possible public criticism. So they are demanding certainty in an area of science where certainty is almost impossible at the present time. And that is why they are incapable of forecasting earthquakes and why they will never be able to forecast them given that self protective mentality.

Disaster mitigation professionals are dramatically different with their attitudes. They say, “When human lives are at stake, make use of the best data available and stop worrying exclusively about your public image. And never use the word ‘impossible’”.

Will governments ever discover that they need to have disaster mitigation professionals doing that type of work instead of geologists and other professional researchers?

Unfortunately, probably not any time soon!

These are personal opinions.