New Forecast Data and Bulletin Board Web Page – January 17, 2013

http://www.freewebs.com/eq-forecasting/Data.html

The first version of the new combined Forecast Data and Bulletin Board Web page can now be seen at the above (indirect) URL.

That particular Web page is intended to make it easy to post comments regarding the earthquake forecasting data that can be seen on the page.

It has a host of new features including a Chart B that shows the days that individual EM Signals were detected as well as recent powerful earthquakes, a picture posting capability, a Web page posting capability, an ability to post messages to several different areas on the Data Web page, and a very simple downloadable html code Chart Viewer that people can store on their personal computers. When they then click on the viewer it will automatically download the Chart A and B data plus some data for past earthquakes. That makes them easy to see the data and compare them with one another without having to actually visit the Web page.

The bulletin board program is not yet operational on my Web site, only on my PC. A few more security features will be added to it before it gets running on the site.

On Chart B the days when individual EM Signals were detected can be seen along with recent powerful earthquakes. So, people can examine the individual signals and see when they were good matches for recent powerful earthquakes. That then shows when the fault zone where the earthquake occurred was generating EM Signals.

The signals go from em1, the lowest intensity signals, to em9, the highest intensity signal that I can detect. Only a few em9 signals have ever been detected.

Most em1 signal last only about 0.25 seconds. And it is believed that they are associated with micro fractures that occur in fault zones before powerful earthquakes. When large numbers of those em1 signals are detected during a several week period of time it might mean that a powerful earthquake is getting ready to occur somewhere. Between July of 2010 and March of 2011 when that extremely powerful earthquake occurred in the Japan area, perhaps as many as 1000 em1 signals were detected. I still have a list of about 500 of them from that time period that I need to process with my computer programs.

Ear Tones are given a value of em1 on Chart B. And they can last for 5 seconds to perhaps 20 seconds. However, one person reported to me that he has detected Ear Tones that lasted for as long as several hours.

The em2 through em9 signals can last from 5 second to perhaps 90 seconds.

The most amazing part of this entire effort is the following:

The times when em5 and higher signals are being detected are virtual exact matches with the times when Pavel Kalenda’s ground tilt sensors record some type of significant change in the fault zones they monitor !!! And these EM Signals are electromagnetic in nature and are being detected on the opposite side of the planet from Pavel’s ground tilt sensors.

http://www.freewebs.com/eq-forecasting/Research-PK.html

Theories being presently evaluated propose that the following is what is happening:

The west side of the San Andreas fault zone, for example, might be moving slowly south while the east side moves slowly north. At a given section of the fault zone the rock layers are locked together. But the tectonic plate movement is so slow that the rock layers on either side of the fault zone can absorb the strain for quite a while, perhaps hundreds of years.

At some time they reach the limit of how much strain they can absorb. It is like a rubber band being stretched to its limit. When the fault zone reaches that point, Pavel’s sensors start recording an abrupt strain buildup in the fault zone. And the types of high intensity EM Signals that I work with are generated.

These matching signals between these two dramatically different detection methods are being observed again and again. It is quite amazing.

What this means is that we could be accurately forecasting at least some of our earthquakes by comparing those signals etc. Unfortunately, my signal detection procedure does not provide any directional information. So I have to use computer programs to try to determine where the fault zone is located. And since Pavel’s data are not presently available through any Internet Web sites is not possible for people to readily compare them with my data.

It should be easy to build a directional EM Signal detector that can detect those em5 and higher intensity signals. And through the use of triangulation and by comparing those data with Pavel’s data it should be possible to tell exactly where a good percentage of our powerful earthquakes are going to occur. Total Electron Content (TEC) types of data look like they could also be valuable for that. I have now been sent two accurate TEC based forecasts from another researcher(s) who is in the Europe – Asia area. The one before that past powerful Myanmar earthquake was amazingly accurate.

http://www.freewebs.com/eq-forecasting/Researchers.html

These are personal opinions.

• New Format Data Web Page