Don's forecast for Central California and today's Los Altos earthquake
Posted by Lowell on September 28, 2001 at 10:28:28:

On Sept. 25, 2001, Don made the following prediction:

Ben Lomond, Boulder Creek, Santa Cruz, California Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on September 25, 2001 at 01:13:31:

Magnitude: 2.5-4.0Ml
From: 09/26/2001PDT - To: 10/03/2001PDT
Location: Boulder Creek, California +2
Top Latitude: - Bottom Latitude:
Right Longitude: - Left Longitude:

I have 3 probable locations. The problem is that one or all could occur and the
y also overlap.

The first one is a 2.5-3.5Ml at 37.1N/122.3W. This is about 20Km SSW of
Boulder Creek, California, or just off the coast of California and should
occur on 09/28/2001. Window opens on 09/26/2001 and will close on 10/01/2001.

...

The third one is a 2.5-3.5Ml at 37.1N/122.1W. This is about 3Km NW of Ben
Lomond, California and should occur on 09/30/2001. The widow opens on
09/28/2001 and will close on 10/03/2001. The radius on all quakes is 40Km.

Today NCSN is reporting the following earthquake:
ML 2.0 2001/09/28 07:47:14 37.327N 122.110W 0.0 6 km S of Los Altos, CA

This event is about 30 km from the first, and 20 km from the third
of these predictions, falls on the day the first was expected, but
is slightly smaller than expected.

This is not a formal evaluation since the time window on all these
has not run out (in fact it is just starting), so this should
be considered just point of information memo at this time.



Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Don's forecast for Central California and today's Los Altos earthquake - Don in Hollister  15:42:20 - 9/28/2001  (9677)  (1)
        ● Re: Don's forecast for Central California and today's Los Altos earthquake - JOB  10:02:27 - 9/29/2001  (9693)  (0)