Posted by Mary/Maya in San Jose {greenler[010AT31]earthlink[10DOT310]net} on October 31, 1999 at 17:07:38:
Hi all. I've been gone awhile so I'm rusty, but thought I'd try a couple predictions. Prediction # 1 New Madrid What: 4.0 to 5.8 Where: New Madrid fault, or further east. Borrowing from Dona; between 30N and 45N, but most likely New Madrid itself. When: Time of post to Dec. 15th. or more precisely; now to Nov. 8th, 11th-15th, 18th-22nd, 24th-28th, Dec. 2nd to 13th. Why: East symptoms, east sounds, patterns, and observations. Probability: 60% Pattern was the New Madrid quakes on the 21st, Mona passage on the 28th, and the 4.2 in Ontario today. Along with west coast activity. Sounds were at there peak Thurs from 3am to 6am so maybe the time of day? Not sure. Prediction # 2 Bay area north to Mammoth mostly. What: 4.0 to 5.8 Maybe more than one. Where: Borrowing from Dona again, 34N to 45N, from CA/OR offshore, to CA/NV border area, but most likely Bay Area and north or Mammoth area. Excluding Hector aftershock zone less than 5.0. And even more likely ESE to East to ENE of me, or within a 300 mile radius of me. When: By the end of November. Why: Symptoms and sounds over the last 6 months. Probability: 60% Dona, I see an angle today for Central coast to Bay area offshore. And Daniel, a couple of your arcs. A large one in eastern CA this week, and one focusing on the Bay area today. Wine glass type ringing has been up since the 21st non stop. And rumbling off and on since the 15th., could be Hector but then again? Rumbling has been mostly to the south to SSE of me, but sometimes to the N to NW. Bye for now. Mary/Maya
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