HELLO!- Critical EQ Windows
Posted by Diane {d[10DOT142]pope[210AT14]IX.Netcom.com} on October 14, 1999 at 17:08:32:

Look what just popped into critical. Snuck up on even me. Hint, check out LS

>LS-NORTH SAN FRANCISICO TO TIP OF ALUETIANS/+4.8 at S.F./100%
>PR PR DATE CRT.DATE MAG POSSIBLE LOCATION
300MS 9/25/94 10/14-22 10+ if off Seattle

This could ruin the plans of the World Traders meeting in Seattle, 30Nov-. There could be NO Seattle by then.

This is the longest duration PR of any of the PRs across all areas and I have long wondered at this. Why should the greatest quake the world has seen in many years be set for LS? Will this be the time? There are two older LS PRs, shorter in duration and they shoud occur first. However, they will not be back into critical until 11/6 and 12/19 respectfully. Still, LS covers a lot of land mass and this makes a big difference in knowing the magnitude. The 10MM which matched up with the 5.0 in Bolinas could have produced a 6.6+ in Alaska.

USGS just released a report on San Fransisico today, stating that the city is on ground zero for a large quake, which they define as 6.7+ and that this quake has a 70% chance of occurring within the next 30 years. So much for EQ prediction. But that magnitude gives more credence to the remaining long duration PRs. The 60MM- could produce this quake in S.F, but not until 12/19 at least. The 300MS, now in critical, could produce this and much, much more in force. At least, a 7.5 in S. F. if my calculating is anywhere near correct. We get pass this time and we won't have to worry about this quake until 1/9. Which reminds me, there won't be a single PR across all the areas which will come into critical on 1/1. But there will be eight PRs in critical on the first day of the new century. We should remember that then.

>TR-FAR NORTHEAST/+4.6/100%
Out of critical until 11/19 for anything larger than 4.6.
>RS-NORTHRIDGE TO SAN JOSE/4.4/100%
Out of critical until 10/21 for anything greater than 4.4 in Northridge.
>RB ARC - RIDGECREST TO N. GULF OF CAL./+4.2/50%
Out of critical until 10/21, which as everyone knows, watching everyday, RB seldom is.

>C L. A. BASIN-SOUTH COAST-/+4.0/+50%
120 3/30/94 10/11-19 +7.4 if Palos Verdes fault

Some thoughts on this in my post below OK.

>LB-S. CAL COAST NORTH/50%
20MS 6/22/94 10/-14 +5.0 if off Santa Barbara

>B- BAJA COAST/5.0/50%
Out of critical until 11/2 for anything larger than 5.0.

>TL-RING OF FIRE/WORLD OUTSIDE OTHER AREAS/+6.3/100%
45MM 1/12/96 10/8-16 +7.7 if Samoa
90MM 1/17/96 10/13-21 +8.5 if Alantic Ocean

>TL S RANGE SPIKES IN CRITICAL: Two S- and One S

>For my history and 7.0 hits, July, August and September hits.
>http://www.basicso.com/~diane/index.html


Follow Ups:
     ● Critical EQ Windows - Diane  18:18:50 - 10/15/1999  (900389)  (0)
     ● Re: HELLO! Bolinas - Pat in Petaluma  17:35:25 - 10/14/1999  (900378)  (0)