Posted by Lowell on August 05, 2001 at 22:03:25:
A large earthquake is being reported from the Antarctic-Pacific Ridge by NEIS. Initial reports put the Mb at about 6.0, but the Mw looks larger than Mw 6.3 from initial seismogram readings. The initial epicenter of the event is 55.7S 123.1W. For details see: http://www.emsc-csem.org/cgi-bin/ALERT_all_messages.sh?1 Seismograms can be seen at: http://aslwww.cr.usgs.gov/Seismic_Data/heli2.htm So, why should the readers of this board be interested in an event so far away which will affect no one but a few whales? On July 18, 2001, Don posted what I considered an outlandish, and probably untestable prediction for this region as follows: Pacific-Antarctic Ridge Forecast Posted by Don in Hollister on July 18, 2001 at 00:40:44: Magnitude: 4.0-5.3Md From: 07/20/2001PST - To: 07/25/2001 Location: Pacific-Antarctic Ridge Lat: 56.2S - Long: 122.4W - Range: 40Km This prediction suggests a moderate event within 12 days of the event that occurred today. The epicenter is probably within 50-60 km of his prediction (current epicenter is quite preliminary and will change with time). If the initial magnitude is slightly low, this will be the largest event in this area (within 200 km) since April 4, 1971 (more than 30 years ago). To be able to predict such an event within two weeks is quite an accomplishment. I will post a complete evaluation when the epicenter and magnitude have been more precisely determined. Don must have added some whale blubber to his menu that night. But I think we should be more than a little curious why Don chose this location of all the places on earth where a Ms>=6 could occur.
Follow Ups:
● Magnitude now at Mw 6.5 - Lowell 22:43:49 - 8/5/2001 (8782) (0)
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