Postings crossing in the night
Posted by Lowell on August 03, 2001 at 13:09:00:

Shame on you Don, telling tales of earthquakes yet to be.
I am referring to your prediction for events in the northern
California region starting today, of course. Don's forecast
was:
Cloverdale/Santa Rosa Earthquake Forecast
Posted by Don In Hollister on July 31, 2001 at 23:44:33:

Magnitude: 2.0-3.0
From: 08/03/2001PDT - To: 08/08/2001PDT
Location: Santa Rosa
Lat: 38.4N - Long: 122.7W - Range: 40Km

A 2.0 to 3.0Ml on 08/05/2001 at 38.4N/122.7W. This is about 5 miles south
of Santa Rosa. Window opens on 08/03/2001 and closes on 08/08/2001. Radius
is 40Km.
Take Care...Don in creepy town

The following three earthquakes have occurred today (August 3, 2001)
in this region:

01/08/03 06:49:20 38.80N 122.77W 2.6 2.3Md A* 3 km E of The Geysers
01/08/03 16:11:30 38.32N 121.77W 5.7 2.9Md D* 26 km ENE of Fairfield, CA
01/08/03 18:43:18 38.51N 123.32W 0.7 2.3Md D* 7 km W of Fort Ross, CA

These are 44 km N, 73 km E and 53 km W of Don's predicted epicenter.
For those of you interested in patterns this the a nice start to a
Mogi donut with Don's epicenter in the midddle.

The first of these events is no surprise. The Geysers area has
been active for several days now with several Ml 2.7 events and
lots of others with Ml>2.
The Fairfield event is poorly located, but appears to be the
largest in it's general vicinity since a Ml 3.4 near there on
April 1, 1997 (4+ years).
The Ft. Ross event is also poorly located (D*), but is probably
the largest event located in that general vicinity since Sept 14,
1951 when a Ml 2.5 occurred nearby. Of course, it could be the
largest event in this area ever recorded since epicentral locating
was still primitive in 1951.
Don and others noted the Ft. Ross event in postings 8720, 8721 and 8723 on
July 30 and July 31 below.

So, Don, given the start of this Mogi donut, do you have any
thing helpful to say regarding what to expect next or does
your prediction stand as posted?

For information on these and other events in Northern California
see:
http://quake.wr.usgs.gov/cgi-bin/quake/quake.geo.berkeley.edu/name=quake



Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Postings crossing in the night - Don in Hollister  13:22:13 - 8/3/2001  (8769)  (0)
     ● Re: Postings crossing in the night - Don in Hollister  13:18:37 - 8/3/2001  (8768)  (0)