An earthquake of Ml 4.3 is being reported in the region of South-Central
Utah this afternoon by UUSN. The epicenter lies about 100 km NE of
Panguitch, Utah and has the following parameters:
ML=4.3 2001/07/19 14:15:34 38.731N 111.521W 3.7 32 km SW of Emery, UT
from
http://www.quake.utah.edu/req2webdir/recenteqs/Quakes/quakes0.html

Readers of this board may recall that Don had expected an earthquake
up to Ml 3.0 in this general region today (July 19, 2001) - see Post
#8172 and #8573 below.
This is the largest earthquake to occur in the region 37-39N 111-113W
since a Ml 4.7 on Sept. 6, 1994. That gut of Don's must have really
been feeling awful the night he made this prediction.

Also a Ml 3.8 occurred about the same time near Devore, California:
ML=3.8 2001/07/19 13:42:36 34.267N 117.461W 8.1 7 km NW of Devore, CA

This lies within the predicted parameters epicentral and magnitude, but
outside the time range of Kate's "test" prediction of June 28, 2001
which was:

Just a test prediction :-)
Posted by Kate on June 28, 2001 at 17:39:47:

Magnitude: 3.2-4.8
From: 6/28/01/5:45PM/PST - To: 7/5/01/5:45PM/PST
Location: Southern California
Lat: 34.4N - Long: 117.72W - Range: 35km

Today's event lies about 30 km from this predicted epicenter.
There have been 50 events of Ml>=3.2 within 35 km of this
epicenter since 1991, about 5 per year. The chances of a correct
guess within 1 month of the occurrence are about 1 in 2.

Both of these events follow a Mb 5.9 in Kodiak Island and a Mb 5.7
in the Tonga Islands this afternoon. It looks like the global
quiet period is over. Tomorrow might be another interesting day.

• Utah Earthquakes