hi
Here is one which I was talking

http://ibnlive.in.com/news/scientists-warn-of-high-magnitude-earthquakes-in-the-himalayas/313044-3.html

Here the time period has not been mentioned and prediction are open ended.

Is this not out of the hat prediction?. Any lay man can give this atatement. what is use of extensive research and spending fortunes in research ?

If at all we want to evaluate this statasticaly,what could be score? above ,below or equal to avarage?
Amit