Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion
Posted by Amit on December 16, 2012 at 07:19:05:

Roger
Below are the Archive for this year from your blog

Posted November 28, 2012

Here are some probable dates prone to major quakes.pl note that the place can not be pin pointed as on to day. Window periods are as follows
Day-----+ or - one day (UTC time)
magnitude-------+ or - 0.3

1)6th December----------6.3

2)13th December--------7.1

3)19th December--------6.2

4)27th December--------6.8

watch the dates

Amit
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Posted Oct 16, 2012

hi
Probable dates for major quakes ( for October 2012) could not be posted till date. However, from the balance days two probable dates are posted here with

1) 19th October 2012-----0130 UTC---------6.8

2)29th October 2012------1600 UTC--------6.2

This time I have given probable time in UTC to check time predictions also

In norma course my prediction have time window period of + or - one day and magnitude window period of + or - 0.3
Place not specified
Amit
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Posted August 31, 2012 (My fault - vacation. Roger)

hi

Here are some probable dates for earthquakes in september 2012

1)8th september------------6.6
2)15/16th september -----6.4
3)22/23rd September----6.7
4)30th September -------6.3

Watch the dates
Amit

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hi

first of all, I am sorry for not posting dates of August 2012 in time.
The work load at office is too much to spare some time for my hobby
and calculations.

Nevertheless,the remainimg dates are as follows
1)24/25th August---------6.6
2)31St August------------6.3

Amit


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Posted July 17, 2012

hi
PART A

First date for July was already posted in my June prediction., and which was correct,Due to lack of time I am un able to concentrate on my calculations for rest of the adtes of July 2012.I am not a full time research guy,but find some time after full dyas work(8 am to 8 pm). I would love to work full time on the topic if supported by NZ Government
Nevertheless ,further dates are posted here with for your cross checking
1)16th July 2012-----------6.4

2)19th July 2012-----------6.2

3)22nd July 2012.---------6.3

4)29th July 2012----------6.8

This time , I would like to check the dates (as per UTC), without any + or - one day window period

PART B

Recent quake of June 2012 having magnitude 7.0(or 6.2? ) at NZ ,has made me think several questions?

USGS has stated that the quake was of magnitude 6.2, where as NZ media and other News has quoted it as having magnitude 7.0
Now the question is why such variations in magnitudes ? Which one is correct, or the other one is less accurate?
My questions to elite seismologist are

How many,minimum, seismographs readings are required to arrive at accuracy of one decimal?
Are local (NZ) seismologist and Govt not doing proper homework before publishing magnitudes, if USGS is taken as ture and correct observer?

Can any ons or even NZ officials throw some light on this issues?

If ,we are to allow such huge differnece in observations, how are we (seismologist) asking dot accuracy from people like myself,who gives estimates well before an event?
Any answers?

Amit

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Posted June 2, 2012
hi
Here are the probable dates for major earthquakes 1) 4th June 2012-------------6.6----- 10.10 UTC
2)10th June 2012-----------6.5
3)19th June 2012-----------6.4
4)26th June 2012----------6.4
5)29th June 2012----------6.6

July 2012 2/3 rd July 2012-------------7.1-----
1st July 12.00 noon UTC
3 rd July 19.15 UTC

Watch the dates
Amit
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Posted May 1, 2012

Here are probable dates for major quakes in the month of May 2012
1 )6th May 2012----------6.8 --(10.30 UTC)
2)8th May 2012---------6.6--(12.30 UTC)
3)14th May 2012------- 6.3
4 ) 22st May 2012-------6.5
5) 28th May 2012------6.3

As a test let us watch (this time ) the date and time ,wherever mentioned. Magnitude window is + or - 0.3

Watch the dates

Amit

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Posted March 29, 2012

hi Following dates are prone to earthquakes/eruptions
1 ) 6/7th April 2012----------------6.5
2) 15th April 2012---------------- 6.3
3) 22th April 2012-----------------6.2

watch he dates window period for date + or -one day window period for magnitude + or -0.3 place not predicted

Amit
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Posted March 4, 2012

I am sorry,for not publishing the dates for march 2012 in advance.Due to heavy office work load,including on week ends, I could not calculate the details and publish the dates.

Nevertheless few dates ,with quick calculations are posted here with
1) 8th March 2012------------------6.7
2)14/15th March 2012--------------6.5
3)21st March 2012------------------6.4

please check Amit
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Posted February 9, 2012

Due to heavy work load I could not post the Feb 2012 dates in time. Now the dates are posted on my blog and web page
Amit ---- ----- ------ ----- hi
As mentioned earlier, some how found some time over night and now posting the probable dates for February 2012
Saturn is stationed this week and changing direction, any aspect of Moon with planets changing the direction may induce quakes. Thus we have philipines quakes
Now ,the probable dates rae
1)12th Feb 2012-----6.5
2)16th Feb ----------6.3
3)21st Feb ----------6.2
4)24th Feb----------6.4
Place not known
window period + or - one day
magnitude window + or - 0.3
Amit
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posted January 1, 2012

hi
This year ,it may be difficult for me to post very often ,due to my official duty.It is quite likely that,my official responsibilities will increase due to promotion.very soon.
Nevertheless,my monthly prediction posts and replies to readers views will continue
The probable dates for quakes for the next month will be like this

1)2 nd January 2012-----------------6.2

2)9th January 2012------------------6.5

3)18th/19th January 2012-----------6.6

4)23rd January 2012----------------6.3

window period is + or - one day

Amit


And here are actual quakes (hits)
1)9th Jan 2012 (6.5)------------Actual --9th (6.4 and on 10th 7.2)
2)23rd Jan-(6.3)-----------------22nd-(6.0),23rd-(6.1),24th (6.3)
3)8th March-(6.7)----------------9th(6.7)
4)14/15th March-(6.5)------------14th(6.9,6.1,6.2)
5)21st March-(6.4)----------------20th(6.1,7.4),21st(6.6)
6)15th April(6.3)-----------------------14th(6.2,6.2) ,15th(6.2)
7)22Nd April-(6.2)-----------------21st (6.7,6.0),23rd(6.0)
8)14th May(6.3)-------------------14th(6.2)
9)4th June(6.6)------------------4th (6.3,6.3),5th(6.1)
10)29Th June(6.6)---------------29th(6.3)
11)19th July(6.2)---------------20th(6.0)
12)29Th July(6.8)---------------28th(6.5)
These are up to July 2012 only
They are strictly as per norms ie + or - one day and + or - 0.3 mag
Up to July 2012 only there are 12 hits
Roger, I could not understand how there are only 10 hits in 5 years ( ie from 2006 till 2012
Amit


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Roger Hunter  07:31:43 - 12/16/2012  (80809)  (1)
        ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Amit  07:45:06 - 12/16/2012  (80810)  (1)
           ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Roger Hunter  08:48:33 - 12/16/2012  (80815)  (1)
              ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Amit  08:53:54 - 12/16/2012  (80816)  (1)
                 ● Re: Island daughter and Amit-Roger discussion - Roger Hunter  09:03:46 - 12/16/2012  (80817)  (0)