Re: Earthquake Research Web Page Update – September 1, 2012
Posted by Roger Hunter on September 01, 2012 at 10:00:45:

EQF;

So far I've seen nothing that would make me believe anything more than a chance correlation is at work.

People tend to see what they are looking for. The graphs with quakes added are not at all convincing as there is little correspondence with what the curves are doing versus when the quake happens.

What I need to see is that predictions with a 17% chance of success are correct more than 17% of the time.

Roger