Dear EQF,

you are right. EQ prediction is political matter. I found it 20 years ago, when I predicted the dangerous places and periods in deep coal mines. For the management of the mines it is better not to know, when and where are bad conditions and rockbursts can occure, because there is not positive solution for them. If rockburst occured the mining agency will ask them, what they did against it. If rockburst did not occurred, the economists will ask them, why they spent a lot of money for a prevention.

The earthquake prediction stoped in USA after Loma Prieta EQ and Parkfield experiment fallacy. In Japan it was after Kobe EQ. Now, in both counties there are a small "underground" groups, which continue work in the same direction, but without support from government.

Unfortunately, seismologists have a good reason to say that EQs are unpredictable, because the G-R law (logN= a-bM) is pure chaotic law. But it is only model and not the reality.