UPDATE – Posted by EQF on May 11, 2011

This update contains some information regarding a strong EM Signal that was detected at the following time:

2011/05/11 03:43:00 UTC

My earthquake forecasting program can generate a number of different types of data regarding possible links between EM Signals and expected or past earthquakes. Three of those types of data are being discussed here.

EVALUATION PROCESS 1

The chart below shows the similarities between that EM Signal and two powerful Loyalty Islands area earthquakes.

When EM Signal data or earthquake data are evaluated by my computer program, it compares things such as sun, moon, and ocean tide and Solid Earth Tide data associated with the EM Signal or earthquake with similar types of data for the more than 60,000 earthquakes in my database file. And it draws line peaks on the chart lines to show the longitude of past earthquakes that had similar sun and moon data etc.

Ideally, the Loyalty Islands earthquakes should have a strong line peak at 168 E. But that is often not the case. Instead the chart indicates that the earthquakes were better matches for ones that occurred at other longitudes.

However, those data are still valuable because EM Signal data such as that one EM Signal line on the following chart can be compared with the earthquake data lines. And if they look similar, as can be seen on this chart, then that indicates that the EM Signal might be indicating that more seismic activity could be headed for the location of that earthquake.

EVALUATION PROCESS 2

Low intensity EM Signals are being detected at rate of perhaps 2 per day on the average. During the year prior to that powerful March 11, 2011 earthquake in Japan that average went up to perhaps 5 per day. And on some days more than a dozen signals were detected. Strong EM Signals are detected perhaps once or twice a week on the average.

Probably almost all of those signals are pointing to approaching seismic activity for somewhere on the planet. And it would presently be impossible to circulate warnings for every signal. Instead, they are usually averaged together and a composite warning signal chart is generated as can be seen below. Remember that this chart will change as newer versions are posted to my Web site.

The theory here is that when a powerful earthquake is approaching, a number of EM Signals related to the Time Windows on the chart will have line peak groups that are pointing to the true longitude of the approaching earthquake. And that can be seen on this chart with the following earthquake:

2011/04/07 13:11:25 17.43N 93.97W 167 6.5 Veracruz, Mexico
NEIS Data

Line peak groups can be seen around the time of the earthquake at around 94 W.

The reasons that some earthquakes have clear line peak groups like that one and other, far more powerful earthquakes do not are apparently quite complex. They are likely linked with the accuracy of my program’s present probability equations, the nature of the fault zone, how close the fault zone is in distance to the signal detection location, and the strength of the Earth’s geomagnetic field lines at the time the signals are generated.

EVALUATION PROCESS 3

This is another process that people around the world might use to evaluate these types of data. And my limited amount of experience with using it myself indicates to me that it could provide people with fairly high accuracy types of data regarding approaching earthquakes for the areas in which they live.

That process is not presently active with my computer program. I simply can’t watch for everyone’s earthquakes. It would take more time than any one person would have. But the technology will hopefully become available to people in the future with my computer program downloads. In the mean time they can still use my computer programs for the first two types of data evaluation.