Hi Roger,

As I stated elsewhere, I am going to be extremely busy until some time in June. So I can’t contribute much to this type of discussion at the moment. Even circulating that latest Earthquake Warning was highly upsetting for my schedule.

My Year Chart and forecasting chart data are based on the assumption that an approaching earthquake will be triggered by the same types of forces that were responsible for other earthquakes along that longitude line being triggered.

Unfortunately, the earthquakes don’t obey that rule too well. Even in the same fault zone they can be triggered by a distribution of forces. So, what my probability equations do is try to work with an average type of force.

That approach can generate accurate data for some earthquakes. But it does not work for others. It is still being used because “Some accurate data are better than no data at all.”

What my Earthquake Warnings and Advisories do is just let people know when some significant earthquake activity could be approaching. So they should check their local data to see if it might be headed for where they live. And my chart data provide some suggestions for where other researchers might start looking. In some cases the data will provide them with the correct starting location.

There are other important research data in those charts. For example, in some cases a line peak group will move to the east or west on the Time Windows over a period of months. And that could be indicating that strain is moving around in some fault zone during that time interval. And those types of data can be compared with actual strain data being measured in Europe and Asia etc.

Again, there is too much going on at the moment to discuss this much further. I am happy that I was even able to get that Year Chart generation part of my forecasting program running.