Re: UPDATE plus Note to Canie – March 2, 2011
Posted by Roger Hunter on March 02, 2011 at 15:38:26:

EQF;

> The death toll from unpredicted earthquakes absolutely dwarfs into nothingness any problems created by or damage done by careless forecasters.

If so it's because no one pays attention to them.

> My first circulated earthquake warning was generated on December 30, 1994. It was sent to U.S. government officials and was an attempt to warn them about what it appears was the approaching catastrophic earthquake in Kobe, Japan that occurred a little over two weeks later.

But you would say that about any quake that happened to fit the date.

> If you look back in the EarthWaves board records you will find one of my earthquake warnings circulated on January 11, 2010, the day before that extremely deadly earthquake in Haiti.

Another lucky guess. Chance allows a certain number of hits. Now how many false alarms have you circulated?

> In all of these year, as far as I can tell I have never had even one of my earthquake warnings cause anyone to panic and flee a city. And one of the reasons for that is that people working in my own area of science are constantly having to deal with disasters. So if they want to survive in that science they need to learn how to discuss information with the general public in such a manner that the information itself does not cause major problems.

Or more likely they do NOT discuss your advisories with the public.

> Most forecasters don’t have that type of training. And with no guideline help from governments they are left to learn those lessons on their own. Frequently, the results are not what is desired.

Agreed.

Roger