Re: Appreciation from Govt. of Indonesia
Posted by EQF on January 28, 2011 at 01:24:14:

Hi Shan,

Once again,

It is my strong recommendation that procedures be developed that would make it easy to display your forecast data on the type of charts that my computer programs are generating. And I would have already been working on this except for the fact that I have so many other projects that are active at the moment.

I hope that you are saving your records of your forecast data. Then when there is time those stored data could be easily displayed on my charts for the years 2011, 2010, 2009 etc.

As I said elsewhere, the format for your data that my computer programs could easily process might look something like this for each of your expected earthquakes:

2011/01/07 01:34:25 35 –105 7.0 30

2011/01/07 would be the center of the date window for the expected earthquake.

01:34:25 would be its expected time.

+35 would be the expected latitude (+ = North, - = South)

–105 would be the expected longitude (+ = East, - = West)

7.0 would be the expected magnitude.

30 would be a probability type number showing how confident the forecaster was that the earthquake would actually occur. For example, 80 would be high confidence. 20 would be low confidence.

The only absolutely necessary number would be the date. All other numbers could be left off or represented by double quotation marks or two commas perhaps. So, since you do not presently have any time of day information, your data lines might look like this:

2011/01/07 "" 35 –105 7.0 30
2011/01/05 "" 40 –115 6.5 20

My program would then draw a square or a diamond or whatever at 105 E longitude on my charts at the 2011/01/07 time location. The size of the square could indicate the expected magnitude. The color of the square could indicate the level of confidence. And the expected latitude might be printed next to the square. Or a small arrow could be drawn on the right side of the square for example to indicate the latitude. Its location relative to the top and bottom of the square would indicate a north or south latitude.

The computer programming involved with such efforts is easy to do now that the basic code for creating those charts has been written.