Congratulations November 30, 2010
Posted by EQF on November 30, 2010 at 09:01:54:

It is actually too early to say this with any certainty. But, congratulations anyway.

There is a fairly good probability that the earthquake I have been expecting is the one that just occurred in Japan.

2010/11/30 03:24:41 28.41N 139.13E 478 6.6 Bonin Islands, Japan
NEIS Data

News reports are saying that there appears to be some disagreement regarding its being a 6.6 or 6.9 magnitude quake.

If that is the one I was expecting then you got the date right.

Actually, if you look at my previous notes, I probably have more faith in your actual dates for expected seismic activity than my own. I am convinced that the EM Signals that I am detected are usually pointing to actual approaching earthquakes. But I have not yet spent any significant amount of time trying to learn how to generate accurate time windows for them.

Also as I have said before, I believe that your time windows are actually simply times when there is a higher probability that an earthquake will occur if one is getting ready to occur anyway. And when you have hits it is largely because at any given time there are quite a few fault zones around the world where an earthquake is getting ready to occur. They then preferentially occur during those time windows.

Additionally as I have said, one of my planned steps for improving my own program is to add those types of higher probability time windows to it. However, unless I see some convincing evidence that planet location data should be included, my calculations will only involve sun, moon, and perhaps ocean and Solid Earth Tide crest and trough location information.

Some time today or tomorrow I am planning to circulate an E-mail to other forecasters around the world to try to see how well they might have done with forecasting that earthquake. Information given to me by one group that I trust does not appear to have been too accurate. They said they weren’t expecting anything in the European and Asian areas. On the other hand, at 6.6, that earthquake might have had too low a magnitude for them to easily spot its approach.