Re: Earthquake Warning November 24, 2010
Posted by EQF on November 28, 2010 at 20:28:49:

This is most of the text of an Earthquake Advisory that I just posted to the sci.geo.earthquakes Internet Newsgroups and several others.


http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/Data.html

Newsgroup Readers: Please forward copies of this Earthquake Advisory to earthquake forecasting research personnel around the world.

Forecasting Method - An earthquake forecasting method that I have developed over the years involves the detection of what are believed to be earthquake fault zone activity related electromagnetic energy signals (EM Signals). Computer programs that rely on complex probability equations then use those EM Signal data to determine where the fault zones responsible for the EM Signals might be located.

EARTHQUAKE ADVISORY DETAILS

Strong EM Signals were detected at the following times, all UTC:

2010/11/24 14:35:00
2010/11/24 13:30:00
2010/11/23 06:32:00

Time Window - The fact that those two most recent signals were detected indicates to me that there is a reasonably high probability that a fairly powerful earthquake will occur at some time within the next few days.

Time Window Accuracy - My research indicates to me that in many cases when strong EM Signals are detected like that within a few hours of one another, the earthquake responsible for the signals is getting close. However, that is not always the case. With a certain percentage of the signals, it appears that after they are generated the earthquake fault zone responsible for them goes into a temporary condition of stability. And the expected earthquake can be delayed for months.

Location - The line peaks on the chart shown on the Web page listed at the
top of this report are at longitudes where my earthquake forecasting
computer program determined that past earthquakes occurred that were good matches for those EM Signals. The expected earthquake might be more likely to occur at a longitude around where there is a strong line peak.

Forecast data sent to me by other research personnel suggest to me that it is unlikely that this earthquake would occur in the Europe - Asia areas. And I would expect that their data would also cover the Indonesia and Australia areas. So, this expected seismic activity might be headed for some location in the North, Central, or South America areas.


http://arkansasmatters.com/fulltext?nxd_id=371167

The above news report states that an "Earthquake Swarm" has been reported in the Arkansas, USA area. And that might be a good area for earthquake forecasters to watch for possible approaching seismic activity indicators (earthquake precursors) such as large, fresh cracks in building foundations.


http://www.freewebz.com/eq-forecasting/Charts-Interpret.html

Location Accuracy - If the Year Charts for the years 2001 through 2010 on the above Web page are examined it can be seen that those longitude line peaks are accurate for some earthquakes and not for others. More accurate computer program probability equations might help with location accuracy. And efforts are scheduled to be made to develop those more accurate equations.

Those Year Charts also show that the sudden appearance of line peaks at any longitude can be a good indicator that an especially powerful earthquake is getting ready to occur somewhere, even if it will not be at the longitudes of the line peaks. The line peaks at those longitudes then often shift to other locations after the earthquake occurs. And those abrupt shifts observed both before and after the earthquake are being referred to as "Transition" times.

These are expressions of personal opinion.