Re: Earthquake Forecasting Success!!! June 15, 2010
Posted by heartland chris on June 18, 2010 at 17:29:30:

Penny, your location is too vague to be a prediction that can be evaluated (I know you are not after that). That sounds like the same area that I pointed out as being an intersection with a "cute" ring of quakes, that was followed within a couple days by a 4.7. So, if that area, sure, a M4+ would not be surprising. A M6+ would not be too amazing either in the next couple of months, either starting close to the M4.7, or elsewhere within the far southern California area that has had a change in activity since the M7.3(?).

I also am being too vague for it to be a real prediction. I should not try predictions because I have no skill at it, and because I am working on active faults, it might be given some credibility that it does not deserve.
Chris


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Earthquake Forecasting Success!!! June 15, 2010 - PennyB  22:51:34 - 6/18/2010  (77266)  (1)
        ● triggered slip far southern California - heartland chris  09:09:21 - 6/19/2010  (77267)  (1)
           ● Re: triggered slip far southern California - heartland chris  09:11:26 - 6/19/2010  (77268)  (2)
              ● Re: triggered slip far southern California - Skywise  11:29:26 - 6/19/2010  (77270)  (0)
              ● Re: triggered slip far southern California - PennyB  10:05:02 - 6/19/2010  (77269)  (1)
                 ● old - heartland chris  15:45:48 - 6/19/2010  (77271)  (0)