Re: vanuattu quake update
Posted by Roger Hunter on May 29, 2010 at 09:39:09:

Amit;

After updating my quake file and rechecking your predictions, results are as follows;

Predicted date---Actual quake
1)29.05.2010----27.05.2010-----------Miss
2)10.05.2010----10.05.2010-----------Not a mag 7_ prediction
3)14.04.2010----14.04.2010 (6.9)-----Not a mag 7+ quake
4)11.03.2010----11.03.2010(2quake)---Not a mag 7+ prediction
5)28.02.2010----27.02.2010(chile)----Not a mag 7+ prediction
6)3.01.2010-----3.01.2010------------Correct
7)4.01.2009----3.01.2009(2quakes)----Correct
8)15.01.2009---15.01.2009------------Correct
9)13.05.2008---12.05.2008------------Correct

So you have 4 hits out of 31 predictions but since the odds are 0.112 that's still at chance level.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: vanuattu quake update - Roger Hunter  08:55:28 - 5/30/2010  (77125)  (1)
        ● Re: vanuattu quake update - Amit Dave  11:06:34 - 5/30/2010  (77126)  (0)