Sumatra 7.8M taught a new lesson..!
Posted by Shan on April 07, 2010 at 10:36:05:

Today I learned a new lesson from the nature as described below and it is a new guidance for my future predictions.

Please refer my prediction dt.15.03.10 which is reproduced here for ready reference:

PREDICTION Dt. 15th March 2010
Good sunshine day
Suspect around 7 to 8M quake over

SIMEULUE, INDONESIA (2.21N 96.74E) OR
SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN (3.0S 86.7E)
around 5 to 6+M quakes over.........

may occur within next 48 to 380 hours from 04.30 UTC on 14th March 2010.

RESULTS:

Redpuma REPORTED THE FOLLOWING:
''''''''''''''''''''''
14Mar2010 20:33:11.0 2.8S 83.7E 10 M =6.0 M*NEI SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN

Please note that the South Indian Ocean quake was occurred with 6M on 14.03.2010 itself. But in general, after my prediction the result will to take place a few days to occur. In this case I posted the result after waiting for the end of the time frame and listed with hesitation.

Please refer my next prediction on the same area which was also available in my website as appended:

PREDICTION Dt. 1st April 2010

Good & diffused sunshine days
Suspect around 6 to 6.5M quake over

NORTHERN SUMATERA (3.7N 96.3E)

and around 5 to 6M quakes over
................
may occur within next 48 to 380 hours from 04.30 UTC on 31st March 2010.

Please note that both the locations in my above two predictions were very close to each other and the result was occurred as:

06Apr2010 22:15:02.6 2.2N 97.0E 46 M =7.8 M*NEI NORTHERN SUMATERA

So it is clearly indicate by the nature, if the main quake was delayed to occur, meantime subsequent triggering may release the full energy with in the next time frame fixed. It was occurred yesterday only i.e. after 23 days of my prediction against my 15 days time frame of my 1st prediction but 6th day of my next prediction as referred. What I hereby concluded as if the expected main quake was not occur within the time frame fixed, it will activated by the subsequent triggering process in a small gap of time delay.

Though the magnitude and locations was so close, I failed in the time frame because of the above reason.