Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method
Posted by Skywise on March 11, 2009 at 20:04:07:

You address the issues quite well.

But continuing from a devil's advocate point of view...

This idea of yours will only help scientific based predictions and scientific based predictors. Most of the predictors I see actually find such scientific values reprehensible to their mode of thinking. In fact, they see "high science" as THE hinderance to any effort to successfully predict quakes. These types will not use your service due to the constraints placed upon them.

I guess what I'm saying is, your proposal preaches to the choir.

But then, if your goal is to provide a service to the scientific based predictor, and don't care about the fuzzy-wuzzy-touchy-feely predictor, then I think you will do well. In fact, I may even get back into the prediction game myself.

Brian


Follow Ups:
     ● Luke Thomas - Michael Tolchard  01:28:33 - 3/12/2009  (74851)  (1)
        ● Re: Luke Thomas - Skywise  23:13:06 - 3/12/2009  (74880)  (0)
     ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Michael Tolchard  01:09:55 - 3/12/2009  (74850)  (1)
        ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter  06:29:35 - 3/12/2009  (74853)  (1)
           ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Michael Tolchard  09:48:13 - 3/12/2009  (74856)  (1)
              ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter  10:27:22 - 3/12/2009  (74859)  (1)
                 ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Skywise  23:16:04 - 3/12/2009  (74881)  (1)
                    ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter  09:29:18 - 3/13/2009  (74883)  (1)
                       ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Skywise  20:13:20 - 3/13/2009  (74888)  (1)
                          ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Roger Hunter  20:42:15 - 3/13/2009  (74889)  (1)
                             ● Re: Earthquake Predictions, Forecasts, Percentages, and the Scientific Method - Skywise  00:03:54 - 3/14/2009  (74890)  (0)