Over the past several years I have gotten turned off by following predictions here and elsewhere simply because most of them were not scientifically legitimate and were hence a waste of time and effort to review.

Back in the day, weather prediction was viewed in the same manner earthquake prediction is today, something that is not attainable. Yet here we are, fairly accurately predicting weather out 10 days, and even predicting climate data far in advance.

I feel that earthquake prediction field will follow the same path that the weather prediction field has. Our understanding of this field is expanding all the time. Who knows, maybe someday, somebody on this board will give us a major breakthrough.

In order to be taken seriously, predictions must be based on the scientific method. Wishy Washy Vague Voodoo predictions are not predictions at all. There is also a lack of a trusted automated repository for predictions, which is a project I may be interested in taking on.

I think what Roger has suggested is a big step in the right direction. Roger, you have always pushed for scientific legitimacy on this board and your efforts are much appreciated.

Michael Tolchard