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litttle interest if you're not saying how it works
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Posted by John Vidale on December 20, 2008 at 10:14:43:
Up front, I'm skeptical that your method works, as we well know the response of earthquakes to stresses like Chandler wobble and tides, and it is VERY weak. One can't just assert that some regions respond to some stresses and others to other stresses - stress is simply stress to a rock mass. We are tracking the observed strains and calculating the predictable stresses better in the western US and in Japan than you are likely to be able to with a few deep instruments, no matter the sensitivity. LURR has been tested on a global scale and found ineffective, the swarm work by Fischer, Ogata, Shearer, and myself, with only one or two weak exceptions, does not provide precursory information. Second, if you're not willing to reveal the method, nor develop a track record solely with publicly posted predictions, scientists will not listen. If you have something new to get an advantage, you'll have to dangle it to attract interest, because otherwise mainstream scientists have more promising ways to expend their energy.
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