Re: 7.9 in Peru...odds
Posted by Roger Hunter on August 16, 2007 at 11:03:10:

Hi all;

I looked at the NEIC database from 1973-2006 for quakes of
mag 6 and up, counting the number of quakes per day.

Usually there was only one but there were some cases where
more than one happened.

I don't know what to use for an expected value. The normal
distribution should fit if quakes are random but we know that
isn't true because of aftershocks.


Western Pacific (120E - 180E)
Number of quakes: 2194
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9


1514 229 40 13 6 1 2 0 0


Eastern Pacific (180W - 90W)
Number of quakes: 959
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9


787 73 6 2 0 0 0 0 0


If anyone is interested you could go thru the list of quakes
which were counted and see how many were aftershocks. If any
multiples were not aftershocks then one could search for
consistent patterns.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: 7.9 in Peru...odds - heartland chris  21:00:28 - 8/16/2007  (72432)  (1)
        ● Re: 7.9 in Peru...odds - Roger Hunter  23:22:46 - 8/16/2007  (72436)  (1)
           ● need 24 hours, 1000 km - heartland chris  07:05:03 - 8/17/2007  (72437)  (1)
              ● Re: need 24 hours, 1000 km - Roger Hunter  13:12:43 - 8/17/2007  (72441)  (1)
                 ● Re: need 24 hours, 1000 km - heartland chris  18:22:36 - 8/17/2007  (72449)  (1)
                    ● Re: need 24 hours, 1000 km - Roger Hunter  18:30:56 - 8/17/2007  (72451)  (1)
                       ● ? - heartland chris  18:34:18 - 8/17/2007  (72452)  (2)
                          ● Re: ? - Canie  21:18:33 - 8/17/2007  (72454)  (1)
                             ● Re: ? - Roger Hunter  21:33:22 - 8/17/2007  (72455)  (1)
                                ● Re: ? - Canie  10:50:46 - 8/18/2007  (72458)  (1)
                                   ● Re: ? - Roger Hunter  11:34:33 - 8/18/2007  (72460)  (1)
                                      ● Re: ? - heartland chris  11:59:58 - 8/18/2007  (72462)  (1)
                                         ● Re: ? - Roger Hunter  12:07:29 - 8/18/2007  (72464)  (1)
                                            ● Table - heartland chris  06:46:04 - 8/19/2007  (72465)  (1)
                                               ● Re: Table - Roger Hunter  06:51:24 - 8/19/2007  (72466)  (1)
                                                  ● Re: Table - Cathryn  21:23:29 - 8/19/2007  (72479)  (0)
                          ● Re: ? - Roger Hunter  18:43:08 - 8/17/2007  (72453)  (0)