Mike,

I had not seen those scenarios. I believe OES and CalFire have spent a good deal of time planning the response. I agree they will stage much of the equipment just out of the major damage zone until the best deployment plan is understood. The staging is static, but the actions will be dynamic based on ground conditions. Just after Northridge, San Diego RU formed two engine ST's right off, with crew organization shortly after. I think they provided regional coverage, and did not go in.

There are two ways to look at a worst case scenario involving a large earthquake and wild land fire. The first involves the earthquake happening and then fires following. The second, much more ominous, is a major earthquake occurring during a major fire outbreak statewide. The earthquake becomes a magnification of misery already taking place. Let's see..Kinda like if the Rodney King riot is going on and THEN Northridge quake hits. Get's real messy from there.

I'm not sure what the probability is for something like that happening.
It must be astronomically small, but it is possible. For instance, what would the probability be for the Oakland Hills Firestorm AND the Loma Prieta to occur in conjunction? (Two similar events of that size, closely located). Not sure how to statistically solve it. Maybe Roger has an idea how to do it.

The other worst case scenario I can think of is a major quake on the Hayward or Rogers Creek fault in spring, when the dilapidated levee systems out in the delta are charged with heavy runoff from the Sierra Nevada. I think the odds for that are much higher than either fire scenario.

Appreciate your response,
Glen