PREDICTION - Prediction
Posted by Glen on November 28, 2006 at 20:14:18:

Magnitude: 3.0 - 4.2
From: 11/28/06 1930 Pacific - To: 12/08/06 1930 Pacific
Location: Sierra Madre Fault, San Fernando
Lat: 34.220N - Long: 118.260W - Range: 40 km

Quake will be Felt..

Mechanism --- Thrust or reverse

Depth --- 6 to 18 Km

Slip Rate --- 1.0 to 5.0 mm/year

No new data on slip rate. Assumption is that 12 to 60 mm slip has aseismically occurred since Northridge. Assumption only.

I will use an addendum for hit rate for this magnitude range. Basis again is a theoretical strain pattern which has moved closer to the Pacific Ocean. This is not based on the Anaheim swarm. Prediction is experimental.

Glen


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Prediction - Steve  16:30:03 - 12/2/2006  (60813)  (0)
     ● Re: Prediction - Steve  19:02:25 - 11/29/2006  (60706)  (1)
        ● 2 small poppers there... - Glen  19:42:20 - 11/29/2006  (60708)  (0)
     ● Re: Prediction - heartland chris  21:40:31 - 11/28/2006  (60677)  (1)
        ● The Pattern - Glen  19:57:16 - 11/29/2006  (60709)  (1)
           ● Re: The Pattern (Glen, John V.) - heartland chris  05:44:53 - 11/30/2006  (60722)  (0)
     ● Re: Prediction - Cathryn  20:40:51 - 11/28/2006  (60672)  (0)