going to be a tough problem
Posted by John Vidale on November 23, 2006 at 11:43:24:

It looks like the prediction of the Crescent City tsunami was generally right, except missed that a later wave was about twice as big as expected.

Getting the modeling accurate enough to predict that later wave may not be easy, as it may depend on both having very accurate bathymetry (and the modeling methods to handle them) and quickly learning the details of which faults ruptured with which distributions of slip.