Michael, where did you go? Sorry to get preoccupied in the discussion of probability with Roger. Although I am new to this board, I am familiar with Roger's posts. He has mega potential. Maybe I'm not the right person to help him find better ways to use his skills but maybe I can get him thinking. He has more knowledge and connections than most people posting on various earthquake related sites. I am flattered that he has responded to my messages.

Your comment from the above post says it all for probability calculations when it comes to probability of predictions. And I quote "I think probability could just as easily be used to
prove as in can be to disprove. "