Re: India forecast missed...yup
Posted by Dennis Gentry of Santa Clarita on January 29, 2001 at 15:22:27:

mb,

Actually there was another India prediction on Jim's board that was posted on 1/21/01 calling for a 6.5 from 1/22/01 to 1/25/01 on the China/India border. So that prediction was short by M1.4 in magnitude, it was along the India border but with the wrong country, and was only a day off on a 3 day window using an astrological methodology.

BTW, you shouldn't be using the mb scale as the scale that you go by since it saturates at close to M7.0. Anything more then that makes the mb scale extremely unreliable which is why the seismological community uses mw for the larger quakes.

Also, how many of your predictions, that are either successfull or close to being successful, occur within 10 days, how many occur within 30 days, and how many occur beyond that?

Dennis


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: India forecast missed...yup - Roger Musson  03:16:17 - 1/31/2001  (4817)  (0)
     ● Re: !8th dec. travel forecast 85% accurate - martin  13:39:09 - 1/30/2001  (4807)  (0)