Posted by Michael on January 03, 2001 at 12:12:19:
*** corrected window typo *** Forcast by Martin is for a 3+ within 48 hours of his post within 15 miles of Pinnacles NM, CA. Latitude/Longitude was centered on the center of Pinnacles NM, CA. This is my first crack at an analysis, so any comments and suggestions, as always, are welcome. Lat: -121.128 Lat: 36.213 Start of Window: 01/02/2001 18:32:52 PST End of Window: 01/04/2001 18:32:51 PST Mag: 3+ Radius: 15 Miles (24.15 Kilometers) I looked at the NEIC catalog for a 25 year period from 1975 through 2000. There were 4 earthquakes that fit these parameters. Based on that information, I deduced that there is about a 1 in 1141 chance of a hit by random chance. This translates to a .087% chance of occurance. A hit with this prediction would be very impressive indeed! Thoughts?
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