predicting major quakes
Posted by Roger Hunter on January 01, 2001 at 07:27:37:

Want to predict 6+ quakes globally?

I can, with 91% accuracy using a 4 day window.

You can too.

Pick a window; any window. There will be a 6 or better somewhere in the world within that window 91% of the time (give or take a few points).

Of course, you'll only predict about 13% of the 6+ quakes. That's chance at work.

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: predicting major quakes - Cathryn  14:20:25 - 1/1/2001  (4266)  (0)
     ● Re: predicting major quakes - martin  10:40:11 - 1/1/2001  (4258)  (2)
        ● Re: predicting major quakes - Roger Hunter  15:19:11 - 1/1/2001  (4270)  (0)
        ● Re: predicting major quakes - Bob Shannon  15:17:35 - 1/1/2001  (4269)  (0)