Survey Of Residents Living Along The San Andreas Fault
Posted by Don in Hollister on November 15, 2000 at 13:38:43:

Hi All. Here in part is a survey that was done by the San Francisco State University. The response was about what I though it would be as I had ask the same questions about 4 years ago to the people who live in the mobile home park I live in.

Of Course this survey is about 30 years old so a lot of attiudes can change. Take Care…Don in creepy town.

A SURVEY OF RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE SAN ANDREAS FAULT
By RAYMOND SULLIVAN, DAVID A. MUSTART, AND JON S. GALEHOUSE.

Department of Geology, San Francisco State University

Earthquake prediction once relegated to the realm of cultism, has in recent years become a respected scientific pursuit and has been given considerable attention in the news media. This is reflected by the large percentage of respondents (61%**) who think that earthquakes can be predicted. The vast majority (94%**) feel that earth scientists rather than astrologers or psychics will make the most reliable estimates.


Many people involved in prediction of earthquakes are concerned about the attitude of the public toward an announcement of an impending earthquake. In the questionnaire, residents were invited to give their initial reaction to a prediction of a major earthquake expected to occur in 20 years, 1 year, or 1 week. It was surprising to discover that a large number of persons would do nothing in the event of any such prediction, although the proportion of such responses has decreased somewhat over the 6-year study period. In the case of a prediction of a major earthquake occurring 20 years in the future, most persons would do nothing (94%*, 85%**), whereas a small percentage would move (2%*, 5%**). For an earthquake warning 1 year in advance, a smaller percentage of residents (77%*, 61%**) indicated they would take no action, whereas a growing percentage (11%*, 19%**) indicated they would move or leave the area temporarily. Some were unsure of what steps to take (9%*, 8%**) and the remainder had a varied response (table 1). Finally, with a warning of only one week, a surprisingly large percentage of residents (52%*, 38%**) continued to indicate that they would do nothing, while over a third (36%*, 40%**) would move or leave the area temporarily. The remaining responses were similar to those for the 1-year prediction (table 1).