Just curious, Glen - in what ways do "seeing the areas" and "talking to old timers" help you form your predictions? A previous poster on this board used to insist that personal, physical familiarity with an area would give one a leg up on predictions, but I could never see how that would work. And my experience with wandering around the back country and talking to old timers is that they can sure spread some great B.S.!!

The remainder of your system appears very much to consist of the star-crossed methodology of straining to see patterns in what are, mostly, random events. And, unfortunately, seeing them! I'll certainly withold judgment until you've made sufficient predictions for some statistical analysis to be made.

Thanks for the link, but your reference to northwest LA was a bit cryptic. It is interesting to see the very graphic beach-ball representation of the tectonic forces which are producing the uplift responsible for the transverse ranges (where the SAF's "Big Bend" impedes the generally NNW motion of the Pacific Plate). I had not previously thought to look at moment-tensor maps of that area.

Good luck to you, and thanks for your clear statements regarding misses.

Mike Williams in Arroyo Grande, CA