Shan's latest evaluation
Posted by Roger Hunter on June 07, 2006 at 08:44:39:

Hi all;

This was previously posted on another site but should be here too,
These are the probabilities and hit/miss flags for 99 of Shan's predictions,

PROB. H/M PROB. H/M PROB. H/M PROB. H/M 45.027, 0 .983, 0 .450, 0 .589, 0 2.064, 0 .541, 0 10.419, 0 4.715, 0 4.717, 0 28.727, 1 6.488, 0 .270, 0 72.113, 1 79.702, 1 2.359, 0 5.894, 0 29.975, 0 9.232, 0 3.539, 0 4.013, 0 .737, 0 20.470, 0 87.025, 1 23.915, 0 5.800, 0 78.154, 1 57.995, 1 7.617, 0 45.912, 1 4.874, 0 13.827, 0 19.984, 0 30.549, 0 50.344, 1 1.892, 0 7.043, 0 5.848, 0 13.958, 0 6.594, 1 71.990, 1 .082, 0 16.342, 0 24.816, 0 5.897, 0 .049, 0 67.038, 1 19.247, 0 6.716, 0 17.002, 0 24.050, 0 20.639, 1 94.758, 1 65.438, 1 6.307, 0 4.423, 0 1.802, 0 68.403, 1 78.498, 1 4.668, 0 .901, 0 .123, 0 25.573, 1 26.536, 0 75.135, 1 1.392, 0 6.537, 0 19.247, 0 3.153, 0 55.725, 0 3.276, 0 19.247, 0 79.099, 0 39.558, 1 13.923, 0 4.505, 0 18.018, 0 4.300, 0 1.147, 0 78.624, 1 42.883, 1 5.324, 0 .737, 0 42.179, 0 85.258, 1 11.138, 0 35.976, 0 25.135, 1 21.081, 0 7.339, 0 5.570, 0 41.441, 1 8.018, 0 14.351, 0 18.829, 0 5.135, 0 14.324, 0 10.223, 0 .450, 0 17.568, 1

I count 25 hits, typically on the most probable cases.
These results are not significant. SD = 0.209

Roger


Follow Ups:
     ● Well, that didn't work! - Roger Hunter  08:46:26 - 6/7/2006  (37971)  (1)
        ● This should be ok - Roger Hunter  08:52:36 - 6/7/2006  (37973)  (1)
           ● Re: This should be ok - Cathryn  15:19:43 - 6/7/2006  (37987)  (0)