Hi All,

I don't read only earthquake predictions listed here, but some here don't go scouting around looking for predictions elesewhere. But as far as I can determine the only correct earthquake prediction issued for Tonga was made by Skywise Brian using his Earthquake Dartboard method. To date it is the most successful earthquake prediction program going. He's chalking up the points in a phenomenal run.

This program started to challenge Stan Deyo's prediction method and right from the beginning Brian was beating the pants off of the guy. I'm thrilled! I like Stan Deyo too, but it didn't take Brian long to figure out how this thing worked and he's been hanging in there and running with the program to see what the long term results might be.

He's taking a hiatus from this forum but as we discuss earthquake prediction in general I don't think we should limit ourselves to only hearing about what goes on right here.

So Brian, Congratulations! Way to Go! ...Petra

Magnitude 7.9 (Major)
Date-Time Wednesday, May 3, 2006 at 15:26:39 (UTC)
= Coordinated Universal Time
Thursday, May 4, 2006 at 4:26:39 AM
= local time at epicenter Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 20.130°S, 174.164°W
Depth 55 km (34.2 miles) set by location program
Region TONGA
Distances 160 km (100 miles) NE of NUKU'ALOFA, Tonga
165 km (100 miles) S of Neiafu, Tonga
465 km (290 miles) S of Hihifo, Tonga
2145 km (1330 miles) NNE of Auckland, New Zealand

Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 5.3 km (3.3 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters Nst=209, Nph=209, Dmin=732.7 km, Rmss=0.81 sec, Gp= 22°,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=Q
Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)

Event ID usmgas

• Skywise711 EQ Dartboard