Chris,

Mogi's are a bit unusual in that timing may not yet be set in looking at short term earthquake prediction. I don't believe Biswas has ever released his findings on timing mechanisms yet. So I think getting this quake as early as I did was pretty good.

Also, Mogi's are not always seen as a circle, but may appear on side in an eliptical form, but if you're not used to looking at them you wouldn't know what to look for. Insofar as I am aware (and John can correct me) he is not an enthusiast for Mogi's and may not have studied them as extensively as I have.

I'll tell something about earthquake prediction that most people haven't figured out yet and that is if you take a total tunnel vision approach you get the answers a lot faster than if one is rather a free range scientist. Sometimes knowing to much invalidates everything that prediction validates. It's like trying to see the entire universe at once, but you only needed to see let's say Pasadena, Califoria for instance. It's that way. Every place has it's own unique pattern. Don's area in Hollister is like that too. The quakes form what I call a bottleneck and I tell him, "it's time" and within a couple of days he gets his 3.0 or greater quake. I don't need to hear everything to make predictions all of the time.

So as to Mogi's there may be only a handful of people who know what to look for before the big dipper shows up. Crab Nebula's are only for the fanciful.

Petra