A very very good chance
Posted by Dennis Gentry in Santa Clarita on August 10, 2000 at 19:15:06:

Hi Canie,

This afternoon I was getting some pretty strong signals in for several hours. My base magnitude for this event is 4.4. I was also getting a weaker signal at the same time for another event, but because the stronger signal was partially obscurring the weaker signal, I couldn't really get a good handle on it. It did appear to be around an M5 for a base magnitude.

We've also continued having ant problems on consecutive days now on our kitchen counter tops so I think we still have a much larger quake coming.

The particulars for the smaller signal are as follows (note that I've included all of the rings, but I'll give it a 99% probability that it will occur in the first 2 rings):

Time window
UTC Time: 0230 HOURS 11 AUG 2000 THRU 1600 HOURS 21 AUG 2000
PDT Time: 1930 HOURS 10 AUG 2000 THRU 0900 HOURS 21 AUG 2000

Magnitude-vs-Range:

From 0 to less than 101 miles M3.7+
From 101 to less than 226 miles M4.0+
From 226 to less than 451 miles M4.3+
From 451 to less than 701 miles M4.6+
From 701 to less than 1226 miles M4.9+
From 1226 to less than 1926 miles M5.2+
From 1926 to less than 3326 miles M5.5+
From 3326 to less than 5526 miles M5.8+
From 5526 to less than 9526 miles M6.1+

Ranges are from my location in Santa Clarita, California located at:

Latitude 34o 26' 20"N Longitude 118o 31' 22"W
34.43877N 118.52272W


Follow Ups:
     ● Update - Dennis Gentry of Santa Clarita  09:17:49 - 8/16/2000  (3489)  (0)
     ● Re: A very very good chance-Update - Canie  14:40:08 - 8/14/2000  (3480)  (0)