Petra, your prediction
Posted by Roger Hunter on February 23, 2006 at 22:07:59:

has a 4.4% chance of success.

I base this on the number of quakes of the given size that have happened within your area from 1973-2005 using a 27 day window.

Roger

Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Petra, your prediction - Petra  23:01:10 - 2/23/2006  (34212)  (1)
        ● Re: Petra, your prediction - Cathryn  20:38:43 - 2/25/2006  (34299)  (0)