Mike,

Insofar as I am aware I gave my prediction to a professional evaluator, but it doesn't matter whether it is historically significant if it never happens, or as to what degree it occurs. After Parkfield someone said it was a coincidence, so I don't know how that works. If you only have a 6% chance of getting it and you do, does coincidence devalue it? Or if you make a prediction for a 4.0 quake and it arrives 3.67 miles from where you said it should, the magnitude is correct and within the window and it's the only 4.0 quake in California at that time and the only one on the USGS map; but the scientist said I don't know where that was? If he can't see it, to him it does not exist. I cannot impress a person who believes in coincidence nor one who fails to look or to see and I'm not looking to impress anyone.

Is there anyone who cares about anyone else here who could have said, "well, it hasn't happened yet, maybe all hope is not lost, let me see if I can help." Sounds like a lack of confidence. So if there is no confidence, the rest doesn't matter anyway.

Petra