Re: The Santa Rosa 1969 Quakes & Petra's Future There
Posted by Don in Hollister on December 22, 2005 at 12:38:10:

Hi Petra. You will feel it even if you’re 50 miles from home. My gut feeling says the quake is lot closer to occurring then many of us think, or want to believe. As David Schwartz has said. “We may have 1 or 2 or 3 years. We don’t have 10, 15, or 30 years. Do you remember what he said as he was scratching the dirt at the Rodgers Creek fault trace? “The quake could occur right now as were standing here.”

It’s kind of hard to prove, but the activity in the area has increased starting around 2000. The quakes were seeing are the weak links in the chain and when all of the weak links have been broken that only leaves the main link that is keeping everything from moving. It will fail. It has to fail because it has failed in the past.

The location of the next quake isn’t known exactly, but close enough for now. The same for the magnitude. It’s the “when” bit that isn’t known. It could be today, tomorrow, or next week, but it will occur. Of that there is no doubt. Take Care…Don in creepy town

catalog=ANSS
start_time=1898/01/01,00:00:00
end_time=2005/12/22,19:43:39
minimum_magnitude=4.0
maximum_magnitude=10
event_type=E
delta=0 km to 60 km from (38.434,-122.705)
Date Time Lat Lon Depth Mag Magt Nst Gap Clo RMS SRC Event ID
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1949/11/30 08:31:54.00 38.6200 -122.1300 4.00 ML BK š
1955/05/07 11:50:39.00 38.9300 -122.8700 4.60 ML BK š
1955/05/07 14:56:15.00 38.9300 -122.8700 4.20 ML BK š
1956/04/05 04:29:13.00 38.5300 -122.5200 4.40 ML BK
1956/04/05 04:29:32.00 38.5300 -122.5200 4.20 ML BK
1958/04/20 21:06:58.00 38.6200 -122.3500 4.00 ML BK
1959/12/16 02:28:42.00 38.5800 -122.3700 4.10 ML BK
1969/10/02 04:56:45.33 38.4963 -122.6638 0.07 5.27 Md 39 104 52 0.20 NC -1003132
1969/10/02 06:19:56.33 38.4515 -122.7522 4.16 5.22 Md 52 170 58 0.20 NC -1003135
1969/10/02 12:27:04.65 38.5085 -122.6872 0.02 4.52 Md 52 106 53 0.23 NC -1003137
1969/10/06 14:28:06.96 38.4753 -122.6987 4.50 4.28 Md 18 53 1 0.02 NC -1003160
1973/09/17 02:08:54.94 38.5910 -122.2713 8.33 4.42 Md 30 127 27 0.23 NC -1017126
1980/12/12 14:57:08.05 38.9455 -122.6815 2.40 4.03 Md 32 73 1 0.08 NC -1058048
1982/05/29 13:02:24.61 38.8010 -122.8222 2.29 4.65 Md 48 25 3 0.07 NC -1074871
1985/03/16 05:26:13.22 38.8872 -122.9933 15.47 4.10 Md 5 321 19 0.09 NC -1126652
1985/07/03 10:24:01.03 38.9325 -122.9712 5.00 4.25 Md 4 119 13 0.16 NC -1129446
1990/08/14 19:05:12.64 38.8247 -122.7922 3.03 4.08 Md 46 36 2 0.08 NC 20092005
1992/09/19 23:04:46.83 38.8598 -122.7915 4.16 4.30 Md 47 34 6 0.08 NC 316220
1994/01/17 14:46:11.98 38.8050 -122.4450 11.21 4.06 Md 69 101 0 0.16 NC 391405
1995/02/28 23:09:46.77 38.9307 -122.6243 5.73 4.00 Md 46 67 4 0.09 NC 30068952
1995/09/04 14:16:17.66 38.6832 -122.7428 7.69 4.46 Md 52 42 3 0.08 NC 30082729
1999/08/18 01:06:18.93 37.9073 -122.6865 6.81 4.98 ML 65 76 3 0.09 NC 21044694
1999/09/22 22:27:13.11 38.3950 -122.6342 9.79 4.20 ML 61 47 14 0.12 NC 21054737
2000/01/10 21:41:27.13 38.7565 -122.9147 6.82 4.28 ML 48 49 9 0.13 NC 21076620
2000/01/11 14:19:52.07 38.7680 -122.9137 6.81 4.34 ML 42 49 6 0.12 NC 21076750
2000/01/18 23:26:01.31 38.7515 -122.9135 7.65 4.22 ML 52 35 6 0.13 NC 21078341
2000/09/03 08:36:30.09 38.3788 -122.4127 10.12 5.17 ML 75 34 3 0.17 NC 21123384
2000/12/08 07:41:11.43 38.7818 -122.7667 4.06 4.15 ML 50 30 4 0.10 NC 21137862
2003/05/20 16:50:41.70 38.8012 -122.8032 0.62 4.05 Mw 55 35 1 0.09 NC 30225804
2003/05/25 07:09:33.67 38.4578 -122.6980 5.06 4.32 ML 68 52 2 0.17 NC 30225889
2003/07/30 04:50:06.37 38.6807 -122.9097 5.09 4.01 ML 41 44 9 0.10 NC 30226086
2003/08/03 12:00:52.75 38.7992 -122.7690 0.89 4.20 Mw 47 37 1 0.06 NC 30226108
2004/02/18 20:37:46.39 38.8338 -122.7680 1.88 4.40 Mw 53 42 1 0.09 NC 40153486
2004/12/27 10:36:22.97 38.7492 -122.7263 3.71 4.32 ML 46 26 3 0.08 NC 21430438
2005/05/08 08:43:55.35 38.3783 -122.1623 9.05 4.16 ML 111 63 6 0.17 NC 21455182
2005/05/09 22:37:39.05 38.7880 -122.7547 0.25 4.40 Mw 65 27 2 0.12 NC 21455621