Plugging those coordinates into my map I get a difference of 130 miles.

Predicted: 41.5N 13.5E
or 41 deg 30 min N 13 deg 30 min S
Quake at: 43.21N 12.55E
or 43 deg 12.6 min N 12 deg 33 min S

Where I rounded the 12.6 to 13.

So its off by 130 miles, .5 in magnitude, and by 1 day if the prediction is in UTC.

Personally, my feelings are that a prediction should have fuzzy edges. For example, somebody predicts an M6 is going to occur on between 5/1/00 and 5/5/00 within 50 miles of San Francisco and instead a quake of M6.3 occurs on 5/6/00 75 miles from San Francisco. Can anybody realistically call that a miss? I for one wouldn't and there are seismologists out there that wouldn't either.

In this case I'd consider it a bit of a stretch with it being 130 miles away. If the prediction had said within 100 miles (or the kilometers equivalent) of the specific location, then that would be a little different.

Chalk it up to a learning experience.

Dennis