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Re: Evaluating Predictions
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Posted by Pat In Petaluma on May 27, 2000 at 13:24:58:
Dr. Chouliaras, Your message was noted by me and used. In the formation of this project my first words were that the "rules" had to be posted, along with a disclaimer that this was experimental. I had a list of protocols that needed to be addressed as when one posts "forecasts, predictions or advisements" that they have to fall within given guidelines already set forth. The Internet has provided a good place for one to practice this method. It helps people to see where they faulter and where they are strong. If anyone ever comes up with a "proven method" it will be noted by many. That was one of the pitfalls of the VAN Method. Telegrams were being sent back and forth and it brought some questions regarding that. Here, in a public medium, there can be no question as to when something was said or not said. We have the public as our peer reviewers both from a scientific and non-scientific background. I have had the good fortune of meeting a number of people on the internet. They are just like their messages. Canie has not met me yet, but we have a mutual acquaintance who knows both of us, so in that sense we do know each other by our associations. One day, hopefully soon, I'll get to meet her in Parkfield and arrange for another seismic tour. Our last outing only included 13 people, but we had a wonderful time on the tour and getting to know each other. From internet to real life, I love them all. Best Wishes...Pat
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