Explanation
Posted by R.Shanmugasundaram on September 01, 2005 at 11:07:29:


Ara,

Hope I mean it your words correctly now that you have stressed the point that the 30th August
quake was the after shock of 16th August quake. Take it into consideration of your statement,
no one has claimed this particular prediction so far though it is active.

Also no one knows the right prediction theory about the aftershock after a specified interval.
I describe it in different way. Suppose the above quake occurred vice versa i.e. the first quake
occurred with 6.2M on 16th August and 7.2M occurred on 30th August. What is your approach in this
direction? (For example the said 2 quakes on 30th Aug. separated with half an hour occurred
with increased magnitudes.)

While I understand that the quake occurred in a different plate boundary please note that
the prediction made in Coimbatore which is situated in another earth plate.

Yes..I agreed your words that nobody known which is fore shock and which is after shock.
Please note that though there are several direction from my location, how I focused Honshu
for a big one in the fixed time frame. Why I am not focusing Gulf of Aden which also recently
received 6.2M . What I would like to say is every fresh as well as after shock got its own
precursor before their occurrence.

I have clearly stated that the Honshu quake may occur within next 48 to 180 hours from
04.30 UTC on 28th August 2005. Means it may occur any time in the next 7 and half days
period starting from 4.30 UTC on 28th August 2005. The quake occurred on 30th August 2005
around 18.00 UTC. Means 61 and half an hour (24+24+13.5) after my prediction. You said
'location is correct, but the timing is delayed' - No its vice-versa.

I don't know whether you have come across my sun shadow method of quake prediction. I am making
prediction with the help of deviation in earth's shadow, called 'Dip' regularly. I compared with
the last year dip with the latest one. It is more or less same type. Strictly speaking micro
millimeter difference in the dip makes a change in location. Just I am registering the dip
manually, so it has got its own merit and demerits until it is fine tuned with systematic
approach. Hope the day is nearing.

I always welcome comments to improve the method.

Shan


Follow Ups:
     ● Re: Explanation - Ara  06:42:52 - 9/2/2005  (27935)  (1)
        ● Re: Explanation - R.Shanmugasundaram  03:23:04 - 9/3/2005  (27945)  (0)