Further results
Posted by R.Shanmugasundaram on May 30, 2005 at 10:55:41:

Hi All!

Kindly refer my postings of recent quake prediction viz.,

http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/26062.html
http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/26108.html
and
http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/messages/26080.html

For immediate reference I rewrite the contents as appended below:

>With the same earthmovement comprising 19, 20 and 21st of May 05, around
>5.5 to 7M magnitude quake may going to occur at

>KERMADEC ISLANDS (31.7S 179.4E) (75% Probability)
>ANDREANOF ISLANDS (51.2N 178.4W) (25% Probability)

>within 48 to 180 hours from 4.30 UTC on 20th May 2005 with usual tolerance
>level of +/- 3 degree in location and +/-1M in Magnitude.

>Please note that both locations may experienced quakes and one of which
>experience lesser magnitude with little time delay.

-----------------------

>Hope you may noticed the following result from USGS.

>2005/05/23 15:10:37 51.12N 178.50E 34.9 4.8 RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

>which is very close to my predicted location. Time frame matched but differ
>in magnitude. So let us wait for Kermadec Island result.

>Meanwhile, I am again expecting around 5M quake over

>ANDREANOF ISLANDS (51.2N 178.4W)

>within 48 to 180 hours from 4.30 UTC on 23rd May 2005 with usual tolerance
>level of +/- 3 degree in location and +/-1M in Magnitude.

--------------------------

The following results were obtained from USGS / Redpuma:

2005/05/29 21:44:28 30.17S 178.10W 20.8 6.2 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND (USGS)

29May2005 08:48:04.9 51.1N 179.6E 33 mb=5.2 M*GSR RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLAND(Redpuma)
29May2005 08:40:46.0 51.1N 179.7E 33 mb=5.3 M*GSR RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLAND(Redpuma)
29May2005 08:34:07.7 51.0N 179.6E 33 mb=4.8 M*GSR RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLAND(Redpuma)

So Aleutian Island quake occurred as predicted and Kermadec Island quake occured with a
time delay of 2 days due to subsequent triggering process and it is a very good case
study for future reference.

I would like to mention about my other important 8.5M quake in two ways viz.
It may exceed my time frame like the above Kermadec case otherwise what I have registered
on 22nd sun shadow was not correct. So, let us watch for further few days.

So I conclude, with the above Rat Island / Kermadec island results, I again proved that
my method is working very good to predict earthquake in short term process.

If still you may not satisfied, you may find my other results too in my website, which may
exceeded more than 50% results were came true.

Comments are welcome.

Shan