Hi Ara. The VAN method is steep in controversy and has been for some time. You don’t hear very much about it anymore. I’ve read some of their predictions and they were so vague that almost any quake would have fit the bill. Then again they also made some pretty accurate ones although there was some who said the data had been changed to fit the quake that occurred.

I know that the AGU (American Geophysical Union), which by the way I’m a member of as well as most of the other people who post here, came out in favor of the VAN method. Don’t know what their stance is on it now.

The 3rd link is a little on the long side, but should prove to be interesting. Hope you enjoy. Take Care…Don in creepy town

http://www.agu.org/sci_soc/van2.html

http://www.nature.com/nature/debates/earthquake/equake_1.html

http://www.globalwatch.org/ungp/friedemann98.htm