EARTH AND SUN DIGEST 2004/10/21 Volcanoes and the VAAC
Posted by Canie on October 21, 2004 at 17:24:09:

The Past Week Ticker

M11, T12, W13/GS35, Th14, F15/6.7M, Sa16, Su17/?V12.8, M18, T19, W20/MC,6.1M, Th21

MTWThFSaSu-days of week; 6M-quake, V8-volcano, MC or XC-solar flare, GS-geomagnetic storm



Moon for October 2004 per Astronomy Magazine in EDT

5 apogee, 6 last quarter, 13 new moon, 17 perigee, 20 first quarter, 28 full moon

The Moon is at apogee (251,654 miles far) on 2 November.



Total lunar eclipse in North America the evening of 27 October from 8:23 PM MDT to 9:45 PM. The moon will be less eclipsed for an hour before and after that period.



Leonid Meteor Shower peaks on 17 November.





EARTH AND SUN DIGEST for October 21, 2004

Volcanoes and the VAAC

...Week at a Glance (with time ticking)




California and Nevada earthquakes in past week--494; one quake of 4M or greater: 10/20 4.1M NEVADA

Interactive map at
http://quake.wr.usgs.gov/recenteqs/latest.htm , see left lower corner

Global Earthquakes of 5.0 to 5.9M thru Wednesday--10 (Japan-3, SoPacific-3); two 6M quakes: 10/20 6.1M VANUATU, 10/15 6.7M TAIWAN REGION

Earthquake data from
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/bulletin.html .

Volcanic ash near Jet Stream (at 5 mi/8 km)--Guatemala

Ash data from
http://www.volcano.si.edu/reports/usgs



Sunspot No. high and low--129 on 20 October from 26 on 15 October

Largest and smallest daily area of sunspots--460 on 20 October from 210 on 17 October (100=Earth)

X-Class Solar Flares: none; last M-Class flares (5+/day) five on 15 August (Ticker has fewer MC.) (See updating site at
http://www.sel.noaa.gov/today.html )

Planetary Geomagnetic A Indices: high of 27 on 14 October; five or more Kp's of 4 (or more) per 24 hours: five from 13-14 October; high no. of Kp's of 3 per 24 hours this week: three on 14 October



(Data is upgraded at the source as needed without notice.)





RECENT VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS



Northern Ash and Gas Eruptions north of latitude 23°N.





ASAMA Honshu, Japan 36.40°N, 138.53°E; summit elev. 2,560 m (3.4 km)

eruption on 16 October at 0306, producing a SE-drifting ash cloud higher than 3.4 km, and on 18 October at 0117, producing a N-drifting plume to a height of ~3.4 km



KARYMSKY Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia 54.05°N, 159.43°E; summit elev. 1,536 m (?)

seismic data suggesting ash-and-gas plumes to heights of 2.5-3 km on 9, 12, and 13 October, ash plumes visible on satellite imagery on 11 and 12 October, extending E then ESE 80 and 50 km, respectively



ST. HELENS Washington, USA 46.20°N, 122.18°W; summit elev. 2,549 m (2.6 km)

during 13-18 October seismicity low and growth of the new lava dome inside the volcano's crater continuing, on 13 October low levels of sulfur dioxide and hydrogen sulfide, but no carbon dioxide, on 14 October visual observations and thermal imaging of the crater showing enlargement of both the section of intense deformation and uplift on the S side of the 1980-86 lava dome and the new lobe of lava in the W part of that area, temperatures of almost 700 degrees C in parts of the new lobe from which ash-rich jets rose tens of meters, abundant steam continuing, on the 14th only sulfur-dioxide flux detected and no detectable carbon dioxide or hydrogen sulfide, Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements on 15 October indicating only minor deformation of the northern part of the 1980-86 dome and no deformation of the volcano's outer flanks, through 18 October seismicity consistent with a continuing rise of magma, lava reaching the surface gas poor



SHIVELUCH Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia 56.653°N, 161.360°E; summit elev. 2,283 m (3.5 km)

during 8-15 October, based on seismic data, weak ash-and-gas explosions and hot avalanches all week, ash plumes to 3.5 km on 7 and 12 October, weak gas-and-steam activity on 11 and 12 October



SPURR southwestern Alaska, USA 61.299°N, 152.251°W; 3,374 m (0)

elevated seismicity continuing during 8-15 October



VENIAMINOF Alaska Peninsula, USA 56.17°N, 159.38°W; summit elev. 2,507 m (0)

low-level tremor during 8-15 October, correlating with weak steaming, no ash emissions





Equatorial Ash and Gas Eruptions at less than 23°N or S





COLIMA western México 19.514°N,103.62°W; summit elev. ~3,850 m (?)

during 13-19 October block-lava flows continuing down Colima's N, W, NW, and S flanks as since 30 September, several explosions daily, sulfur-dioxide flux at a maximum value of about 880 tons on 15 October



FUEGO Guatemala 14.47°N, 90.88°W; summit elev. 3,763 m (4.6 km)

during 14-18 October, several weak explosions sending plumes to a maximum height of 4.6 km and volcanic bombs sometimes thrown, avalanches of incandescent volcanic material towards the ravines of Taniluyá, Ceniza, and Trinidad on the volcano's flanks



KILAUEA Hawaii, USA 19.43°N, 155.29°W; summit elev. 1,222 m (0)

during 13-18 October surface lava flows visible, a M 4.5 earthquake on 13 October at 2318 about 6 km S of Pu`u `O`o at a depth of ~9 km--the earthquake permanently offseting the Pu`u `O`o tiltmeter and several others on the volcano, but little deformation occurring



MAUNA LOA Hawaii, USA 19.475°N, 155.608°W; summit elev. 4,170 m (0)

during the week ending 13 October, 110 earthquakes under the summit, up from 47 for the week ending 6 October, through 13 October more than 730 earthquakes related to the ongoing seismic activity



MAYON southeastern Luzon, Philippines 13.257°N, 123.685°E; summit elev. 2,462 m (0)

seismicity increasing during 18-19 October



PACAYA southern Guatemala 14.38°N, 90.60°W; summit elev. 2,552 m (2.8 km)

activity at Pacaya during 14-18 October not significantly changed in 2 months, white plumes to ~2.8 km



SANTA MARÍA Guatemala 14.756°N 91.552°W; summit elev. 3,772 m (12.8 km)

during 14-18 October weak-to-moderate explosions producing plumes to a height of ~12.8 km, a pyroclastic flow on 17 October at 1349 producing a steam-and-ash plume to ~4.6 km upon contact with dammed water
(Height not verified on Washington VAAC report. See SPECIAL NOTE.)



SOPUTAN Sulawesi, Indonesia 1.11°N, 124.73°E; summit elev. 1,784 m (2.4 km)

eruption on 18 October at 0241, producing an E-drifting ash cloud to a height of ~2.4 km, at 1015 incandescence visible, later that day a "lava avalanche"



SOUFRIÈRE HILLS Montserrat, West Indies 16.72°N, 62.18°W; summit elev. 1,052 m (0)

volcanic activity at slightly elevated levels during 8-15 October as since mid-September 2004, sulfur-dioxide flux measurements only possible on 2 days-156 and 553 metric tons per day w



TUNGURAHUA Ecuador 1.47°S, 78.44°W; summit elev. 5,023 m

volcanic activity during 13-18 October at relatively low levels, emissions mainly steam and gas



All ash elevations are in km above sea level (a.s.l.) and times are converted to UTC.





EARTH


The FIVE Index has the last column giving the eight daily
Kp (three hourly) geomagnetic values in the same UTC time frame as the quake listings.
FIVE Index of Global earthquakes of 5.0 magnitude or greater
DATE-(UTC)-TIME LAT LON DEP MAG Q COMMENTS Day's Kp values
yy/mm/dd hh:mm:ss deg. deg. km

READ UP for latest report.

04/10/21 06:11:3514.35N146.78E60.0 5.0ROTA REGION, N. MARIANA ISLANDS
10/20 1 3 3 1 4 4 1 2
04/10/20 18:55:4915.63S73.91W74.8 5.5SOUTHERN PERU
04/10/20 18:32:2714.05S166.56E81.7 6.1VANUATU
10.19 0 1 0 1 2 2 1 1
04/10/19 21:30:0014.05S166.36E145.3 5.1VANUATU
04/10/19 20:29:4914.01S166.53E135.3 5.1VANUATU
10/18 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2
10/17 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
10/16 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
04/10/16 23:38:4628.64N143.10E23.1 5.1BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
04/10/16 18:54:4236.18N141.34E41.0 5.8NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
04/10/16 17:19:2036.17N141.36E37.1 5.5NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
04/10/16 10:04:3833.49N45.93E45.1 5.1IRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION
04/10/16 01:29:1446.39S33.68E10.0 5.0PRINCE EDWARD ISLANDS REGION
10/15 2 3 1 3 2 2 2 2
04/10/15 04:08:5024.51N122.67E96.5 6.7TAIWAN REGION
10/14 3 4 4 5 5 3 3 2
04/10/14 17:02:1022.54S173.16E102.0 5.0SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS
04/10/14 04:09:029.44S114.27E40.0 5.2SOUTH OF BALI, INDONESIA

United States Quakes this past week
with quakes possibly felt in U.S. from nearby countries:

(only highest magnitude quakes shown for Mount St. Helens)
04/10/01 06:45:1046.20N122.19W0.7 3.5MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON
04/10/01 06:14:5946.20N122.19W0.2 3.5MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON

04/10/21 06:11:3514.35N146.78E60.0 5.0ROTA REGION, N. MARIANA ISLANDS
04/10/21 05:17:0614.43N146.82E39.5 4.6ROTA REGION, N. MARIANA ISLANDS
04/10/20 20:56:0243.27N126.68W10.0 4.0OFF COAST OF OREGON
04/10/20 12:03:1138.04N118.61W5.6 3.9NEVADA
04/10/20 11:35:1538.04N118.61W4.8 4.1NEVADA
04/10/20 05:19:3438.73N115.42W4.6 3.1NEVADA
04/10/19 10:41:0242.04N111.48W0.3 2.6SOUTHERN IDAHO
04/10/19 06:11:4938.02N118.65W8.3 3.4CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
04/10/19 02:12:0933.51N116.52W13.4 3.2SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
04/10/18 16:15:2519.41N66.09W10.9 3.3PUERTO RICO REGION
04/10/17 21:12:0761.22N150.85W60.0 4.4SOUTHERN ALASKA
04/10/17 20:31:5742.58N111.15W5.0 3.2SOUTHERN IDAHO
04/10/17 18:35:4014.87S173.90W10.0 4.6SAMOA ISLANDS REGION
04/10/17 11:35:1135.58N120.88W5.9 3.2CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
04/10/17 07:33:4140.75N116.28W5.0 3.1NEVADA
04/10/16 21:04:0119.07N65.34W23.5 2.7PUERTO RICO REGION
04/10/16 20:17:2419.14N65.29W25.1 2.6PUERTO RICO REGION
04/10/16 15:52:4562.62N151.20W86.0 4.0CENTRAL ALASKA
04/10/16 11:19:0618.82N64.33W25.0 3.1VIRGIN ISLANDS
04/10/16 06:03:2753.62N165.50W20.0 4.0FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA
04/10/16 05:05:3534.45N119.12W26.4 3.4SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
04/10/16 02:53:5521.64N143.13E324.0 4.5MARIANA ISLANDS REGION
04/10/15 21:56:5452.53N169.02W50.0 4.7FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA
04/10/15 05:37:2862.02N150.38W4.0 4.0CENTRAL ALASKA
04/10/15 01:41:2218.94N64.08W25.1 4.2VIRGIN ISLANDS
04/10/14 01:04:2127.69N112.01W10.0 4.1GULF OF CALIFORNIA


YEARS OF MONTHLY COUNTS of Earthquakes of 6 or greater Magnitude
in the World, per USGS/NEIC Preliminary Global Report

YEAR: 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04

June 1 11 12 12 3 3 3 22 10 14 12 10
July 2 10 12 7 5 9 8 9 10 5 15 11 with two 7M
August 2 14 16 6 7 8 9 12 8 12 8 4
September 4 8 8 9 7 4 12 7 10 13 18 15 with two 7M's
October 4 12 21 9 6 3 4 8 11 21 11 (6)

YR total 19 110 160 109 76 63 103 109 112 133 145(101)

SUN

Sunspot numbers, daily for the past week:
10/13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
41 38 26 43 51 86 86 129
Planetary geomagnetic A Indices, daily (eight Kp's for same period)
35 27 9 5 3 4 4

Solar data from http://www.sec.noaa.gov/



SPECIAL NOTE:



What is a VAAC?



Because volcanoes erupting ash are a danger to airliners, there have around the world been established "volcanic ash advisory centers". For the Americas the center is the Washington VAAC, with current and recent reports available to pilots and those interested at

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/VAAC/messages.html

Comments or questions are welcome.



Donald J. Boon, editor.