Diane---I agree with what you posted for Turkey. I had a post on My-Deja about an earthquake of 5.0 or greater and we are still in that time frame. A magnitude in your range seems more and more of a a real possibility. I am looking for it to occur somewhere in the middle 2/3rds of the Northern part of the country. Keep going. We may get the quake in the area of Parkfield too.